Why a Cable at the Bottom of the Ocean Could Decide Who Wins Southeast Asia’s AI Race

Two of Southeast Asia’s biggest infrastructure players just placed a multi-billion-baht bet that has nothing to do with factories, tourism, or exports — Thailand’s classic economic pillars. Instead, it’s about fiber-optic glass strands running along the seabed of the Gulf of Thailand and the South China Sea. On September 10, 2026, Gulf Development and Singtel Group announced a strategic partnership to build new submarine cable connectivity between Thailand and Singapore, a move meant to reinforce both countries’ standing as leading digital economies in the region. For anyone trying to understand where Thailand’s economy is actually headed in the AI era, this deal is a far bigger deal than its unglamorous subject matter suggests.

What Just Happened

Singtel and Gulf Development said they will form a partnership to build new submarine cable connectivity between Thailand and Singapore, aimed squarely at rising regional demand for cloud computing, artificial intelligence, and data-center services. The two firms confirmed the agreement was struck a day earlier, with formal statements following on Thursday.

The headline project is called the Vietnam-Thailand-Singapore (VTS) Cable System — a new subsea data highway linking the three countries. Gulf and Singtel Group described the VTS system as the first initiative under their new partnership, creating a fresh subsea cable link that strengthens Thailand’s connectivity to Singapore. On the operating side, Singtel Singapore and its Thai associate AIS — the leading telecom operators in Singapore and Thailand, respectively — will contribute their market expertise, network capabilities, and customer bases to build and commercialize the system.

If none of those acronyms mean anything to you yet, that’s fine — they’re about to.

Decoding the Players: A Glossary for Outsiders

Gulf Development (ticker: GULF) is not a telecom company in the traditional sense. It is a large, publicly traded Thai energy and infrastructure conglomerate — the kind of company that historically built power plants — listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET), Thailand’s main securities market, and now expanding aggressively into data centers and digital services. Its CEO, Sarath Ratanavadi, is one of Thailand’s most prominent industrialists, and this deal marks his company’s push deeper into the digital economy, well beyond its power-generation roots.

Singtel is Singapore’s flagship telecommunications operator — think of it as playing a role in Singapore’s digital economy comparable to what AT&T or Deutsche Telekom play in their home markets, except with a much heavier regional footprint across Asia. Under CEO Yuen Kuan Moon, Singtel has built out a sprawling “Digital InfraCo” division that includes its submarine cable network, a regional data-center arm called Nxera, and a GPU-cloud-for-AI business called RE:AI. According to reporting on the deal, Singtel’s own materials describe its submarine network as a backbone for global data flows, connecting Singapore to more than 100 countries — which gives a sense of scale for how central cables are to its business model.

AIS (Advanced Info Service) is Thailand’s largest mobile network operator — the Thai equivalent of a dominant national carrier — and it is closely affiliated with Gulf, giving the new partnership a built-in local commercial engine on the Thai side.

One more acronym worth knowing: the VTS Cable System name closely tracks an existing route. The name and route match a Vietnam-Singapore cable that Vietnam’s Viettel and Singtel already launched in April 2024, in which Vietnam’s Viettel manages the landing station and Thailand originally featured only as a branch connection, alongside Cambodia and Malaysia. This new Gulf-Singtel project effectively upgrades and formalizes Thailand’s role from a minor branch into a full, dedicated partner on that corridor.

Why a Cable Nobody Can See Actually Matters

To an outsider, “submarine cable” might sound like a footnote in a business story. It isn’t. Roughly 95-99% of all international internet data — video calls, cloud storage, banking transactions, and increasingly, AI model training traffic — physically travels through cables laid on the ocean floor, not satellites. When a company in Bangkok queries an AI model hosted on a server in Singapore, or when a hyperscale cloud provider mirrors data between two countries for redundancy, that traffic moves through exactly this kind of infrastructure.

AI and cloud workloads require large volumes of data to move reliably between data centers, enterprises, and hyperscalers, and growing AI and cloud demand is what’s driving the need for higher-capacity connectivity alongside data-center infrastructure itself. In plain terms: you cannot build a data-center industry — the kind stuffed with the racks of GPUs that power AI models — without also building the “roads” that connect those data centers to each other and to the rest of the world. Thailand has been attracting the data centers. This deal is about building the roads to match.

The Money Nobody’s Talking About — Yet

Here’s the catch for anyone trying to size this opportunity: the companies haven’t said how much it costs. Gulf and Singtel did not disclose the investment size, saying only that capital spending would be spread over several years, with the project expected to become operational by 2030.

Absent official numbers, Thai brokerage InnovestX Securities did the next best thing — it benchmarked the deal against comparable projects. InnovestX noted that Gulf has yet to disclose the total investment value or the shareholding split with Singtel, and in the absence of official figures, benchmarked the deal against the roughly 6,000-kilometre Asia Link Cable System (ALC), a similarly sized project Singtel previously co-invested in, which carried a project value of approximately USD 300 million (about THB 10,000-11,000 million). Using that yardstick, InnovestX maintained an “Outperform” rating on GULF shares with a price target of THB 78 (roughly USD 2.37 at current exchange rates). For context, USD/THB was trading around 32.9 baht per US dollar in early September 2026 — a rate worth keeping in mind, since it will keep shifting.

On the Singapore side, Singtel shares dipped modestly — about 0.7% — in trading following the announcement, broadly in line with the wider market move that day, suggesting investors treated the news as a steady, long-horizon infrastructure play rather than a surprise windfall.

Thailand’s Bigger Bet: Becoming ASEAN’s AI Hub

This cable deal doesn’t exist in isolation — it’s one piece of a much larger, deliberate Thai government strategy to become Southeast Asia’s digital and AI backbone. The scale of that ambition is easy to underestimate from outside the country.

Thailand’s Board of Investment (BOI) — the government agency responsible for courting and approving foreign capital, roughly analogous to a national investment-promotion authority — reported that investment promotion applications in the first quarter of 2026 alone exceeded 1.01 trillion baht (about USD 30.7 billion) across 624 projects. That is a staggering figure for a single quarter, and data centers are a major driver of it.

The Thailand data center market itself, valued at USD 1.45 billion in 2025, is projected to surge to USD 6.29 billion by 2031 — a compound annual growth rate above 27% — and Thailand is expected to overtake Indonesia in planned data-center capacity as soon as 2026. The household names betting on this are recognizable to any global reader: Microsoft has named Thailand the location for its lead regional data center, ByteDance (TikTok’s parent company) has committed nearly USD 4 billion to data center projects across three Thai provinces, Google has pledged USD 1 billion regionally, and Amazon Web Services has pledged USD 15 billion over five years.

Thailand has also been sweetening the deal on policy. The country approved a 2-gigawatt Direct Power Purchase Agreement pilot program specifically for data centers starting in January 2026, letting operators buy renewable energy directly from generators, and paired it with Board of Investment incentives including 100% foreign ownership rights, tax breaks, and land ownership allowances. Crucially, analysts are already connecting the dots back to connectivity: improved subsea cable links are specifically expected to strengthen Thailand’s ability to capture spillover digital demand from Singapore — which is exactly what the Gulf-Singtel VTS project is designed to do.

How Thailand Stacks Up Against the Neighbors

For an investor or business owner weighing Southeast Asia as a region, it helps to see where Thailand sits relative to its neighbors, since no single country is winning outright.

Malaysia remains the region’s single biggest draw for raw data-center capital. The Southeast Asian data-center construction market is expected to attract more than USD 86 billion in cumulative investment between 2026 and 2031, with Malaysia alone projected to account for nearly half of that total, driven by cheaper land, power availability, and favorable regulation.

Indonesia plays a different game entirely — it isn’t chasing export-oriented hyperscale capacity so much as serving its own enormous population. Indonesia’s data center investment is driven primarily by domestic demand from one of the region’s largest internet populations, concentrated around Greater Jakarta, though grid reliability, permitting delays, and a coal-heavy power mix have slowed some projects.

Vietnam, meanwhile, is still an earlier-stage story. Vietnam has set a national target of 150,000 digital technology firms by 2035 and wants its digital economy to reach at least 30% of GDP by 2030, but its data-center investment remains smaller in absolute terms than Malaysia, Indonesia, or Thailand, with Google, Microsoft, and Amazon signaling interest but committing capital more cautiously than in neighboring markets.

That leaves Thailand occupying a genuinely competitive middle position — not the cheapest land like Malaysia, not the biggest captive population like Indonesia, but arguably the most aggressive combination of government incentives, hyperscaler commitments, and now, international connectivity. Regional analysts expect Thailand and Indonesia to increasingly absorb overflow demand as land constraints and policy selectivity tighten in more mature hubs like Singapore.

Reading Between the Lines: The Delay Nobody Is Advertising

One detail worth flagging for anyone doing diligence on this space: timelines in submarine cable projects tend to slip, and this one already has. The original Viettel-Singtel version of this Vietnam-Singapore route had targeted the second quarter of 2027 for launch, but the new Gulf-Singtel iteration is now targeting 2030 — three years later than the initial plan. That’s not necessarily a red flag; large infrastructure projects routinely slip for permitting, engineering, and financing reasons. But it’s a useful reminder that announcements like this one describe intent and direction, not a guaranteed delivery date. Gulf and Singtel also indicated they may consider additional investments in terrestrial cable networks and other subsea cable projects going forward, suggesting this deal is the opening move in a longer campaign rather than a one-off.

What This Means If You’re Doing Business With or In Thailand

For international investors, the takeaway is not to chase this specific cable project for short-term returns — the investment figures are still unofficial, and 2030 is a long way off. The real signal is directional: Thailand’s government, its largest energy conglomerate, and a top-tier regional telecom operator are all now aligned on the same bet — that digital infrastructure, not manufacturing alone, will define the next phase of Thai economic growth. For companies evaluating a regional cloud, AI, or data-hosting strategy, this is a concrete reason to put Thailand alongside Malaysia and Indonesia on the shortlist rather than treating it as a distant third choice. And for anyone simply trying to read Thailand’s economic direction from abroad, the message is clear: watch what gets built under the ocean, not just what gets built on land — it tends to arrive first.


Key Takeaways
• Gulf Development and Singtel Group are partnering to build the Vietnam-Thailand-Singapore (VTS) subsea cable, targeting 2030 for launch.
• The project upgrades Thailand from a minor branch connection into a full partner on a key Southeast Asian data route.
• Investment size is undisclosed, but analysts benchmark comparable cables at roughly USD 300 million.
• The deal reinforces Thailand’s broader push to become a leading AI and data-center hub, backed by BOI incentives and hyperscaler investment from Microsoft, ByteDance, Google, and AWS.
• Thailand competes with Malaysia (cost leader), Indonesia (domestic-demand giant), and Vietnam (early-stage) for regional digital infrastructure investment.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the Gulf-Singtel submarine cable deal, in simple terms?
A: It’s a partnership between Thai conglomerate Gulf Development and Singapore’s Singtel to build a new undersea internet cable connecting Thailand and Singapore, supporting rising demand for cloud and AI services.

Q: What is the VTS Cable System?
A: VTS stands for Vietnam-Thailand-Singapore — a subsea fiber-optic cable system linking those three countries, expected to be operational by 2030.

Q: Why do submarine cables matter for artificial intelligence?
A: Almost all international internet and cloud data, including AI workloads, travels through undersea cables rather than satellites, so more cable capacity means faster, more reliable AI and cloud services between countries.

Q: How much will this project cost?
A: The companies haven’t disclosed the figure. A Thai brokerage estimated a comparable cable project at around USD 300 million, based on similar past projects.

Q: Is GULF a good stock to watch because of this deal?
A: A Thai brokerage kept an “Outperform” rating on GULF shares after the announcement, though as with any single-company bet, investors should weigh their own risk tolerance and do independent research; this article isn’t investment advice.

Q: Why is Thailand trying to become a data center hub?
A: Thailand’s government sees digital infrastructure as a new growth engine beyond manufacturing and tourism, offering tax breaks, land incentives, and renewable power access to attract hyperscale cloud and AI investment.

Q: How does Thailand compare to Vietnam and Indonesia for data centers?
A: Malaysia currently leads on raw investment volume, Indonesia is driven by its own huge domestic internet population, and Vietnam remains an earlier-stage market; Thailand sits competitively in between, combining incentives with strong hyperscaler commitments.

Q: Which major tech companies are already investing in Thailand?
A: Microsoft, Google, Amazon Web Services, and ByteDance (TikTok’s parent) have all announced significant data-center or cloud investments in Thailand.

Q: What is AIS and why does it matter here?
A: AIS (Advanced Info Service) is Thailand’s largest mobile network operator and a Gulf-affiliated company that will help commercialize the new cable system domestically.

Q: Is this project delayed compared to earlier plans?
A: Yes — the original version of this cable route, developed by Vietnam’s Viettel and Singtel, targeted 2027; the new Gulf-Singtel version targets 2030.

Q: What does this mean for someone doing business in Thailand?
A: It signals growing confidence in Thailand’s digital infrastructure roadmap, making the country a more credible option for companies considering regional cloud, hosting, or AI operations.

Q: Will this affect the Thai baht or currency exchange rates?
A: Not directly or immediately — this is a long-term infrastructure investment, not the kind of event that typically moves a national currency on its own.